Super Rugby 2020: Round 4 predicted winners

Super Rugby 2020 returns for Round Four this weekend, with six fixtures across three countries as the campaign continues.
Reigning champions the Crusaders kick off the action at 8:05 SAST on Friday with a New Zealand derby against the Highlanders at Orangetheory Stadium.

The home side pulled off a strong win at fellow Kiwi side the Blues last weekend, while the visitors collected their first victory of the season by a single point away to the Brumbies.

Fresh from their agony on home turf, the Australian franchise are also heading across the Tasman to play the overall log-leading Chiefs in Waikato on Saturday (8:05).

There are three Saturday matches for South African Super Rugby fans to get their teeth into.

The Stormers made it three wins from three thanks to a last-gasp try away to the Lions last Saturday.

They return to Cape Town to welcome last season’s beaten finalists the Jaguares, with kick off at Newlands at 15:05.

Attention then heads north to Loftus Versfeld, where the Bulls return from their bye week to resume their hunt for a first success of the campaign as they host the touring Blues (17:15).

The Sharks, meanwhile, continue their Australasian tour with a visit to the Rebels (5:45), who picked up their first success of 2020 at home to the Waratahs last time out. Sean Everitt’s side slipped to their first defeat of the season, thanks to a strong second-half performance from the Hurricanes in Wellington.

The Reds are back in Queensland following their loss to the Jaguares in Argentina last Saturday. They have a Saturday date with the Sunwolves at Suncorp Stadium, with kick off at 10:15.

There have already been some surprise results across this season’s Super Rugby fixtures. But that doesn’t mean you can’t chance your arm at predicting the winners. You might not always get it right, but hey, neither do the algorithms. What you can do, though, is to have as much information as possible at your disposal to make your predictions. And these will help with exactly that.

Prediction methodology explained

The expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on.

The predicted points margin draws on calculations from by a New Zealand statistician.